As an aside, some of the best rating years according to http://www.pro-football-reference.com/ are (130+)
Starr 141 1968 153 1966 (won SB in Jan '67, Jan '68)
Cunningham 134 1998
Warner 136 1999 132 2001 (won SB Jan '00, lost Feb '02)
Kelly 135 1990 (lost SB Jan '91 thru Jan '94)
Unitas 135 1957 (won SB Jan '71)
Favre 130 1995 (won SB Jan '97, lost SB Jan '98)
Tarkenton 132 1973 (lost SB in Jan '74, Jan'75, Jan '77)
Brady* 148 2007 (lost Feb '08 and won others)
Brees (139 2009) 131 2004
Elway, Griese none
McNabb 131 2004
Marino 141 1984 (lost SB Jan '85)
PManning 151 2004 (won SB Feb '07)
Staubach 144 1971 133 1973 132 1979 (won SB Jan '72, Jan '78)
Montana 149 1989 136 1987 134 1984 (won SB Jan '82, Jan '85, Jan '89, Jan '90)
Young 160 1987 159 1989 147 1994 142 1992 135 1991 134 1997 (won SB Jan '95)
Rodgers*
Rivers?
So, for matchups, this says one would use Young's '87,'89,'94 season, Manning's '04, Montana '89, Staubach '71, Starr '68. Warner '99 Cunningham '98,
Favre '95-'97, Unitas '57, Brady '07, Tarkenton '73,'74,'76, Marino's '84, McNabb's '04 and Kelly '90-'94. Aikman ,Griese,Elway SB years
We scale stats as needed to a full 16 games, in descending order:
PManning '13 0.659>= (0.20*(55+1)/16+0.20*(50-10)/100+0.20*0.683+0.20*(5477-31)/16/100 + 0.05 )/2.5 (age 37)
Montana '89 0.654=(0.20*(26+3)/13*16/13+0.20*(26-8)/100+0.20*0.702+0.20*(3521+227)/13*16/13/100+0.20)/2.5 (age 33)
PManning '06 0.640=(0.20*(49+0)/16+0.20*(49-10)/100+0.20*0.676+0.20*(4557+38)/16/100+0.20)/2.5 (age 30)
Rodgers* '11 0.638 =(0.20*(45+3)/15*16/15+0.20*(45-6)/100+0.20*0.683+0.20*(4643+257)/15*16/15/100)/2.5 (age 28)
Marino '84 0.625=(0.20*(48+7)/16+0.20*(48-17)/100+0.20*0.642+0.20*(5084-7)/16/100+0.05)/2.5 (age 23)
Brady* '07 0.614=(0.20*(50+2)/16+0.20*(50-8)/100+0.20*0.689+0.20*(4806+98)/16/100+0.05)/2.5 (age 30)
Brees '09 0.611=(0.20*(34+2)/15*16/15+0.20*(34-11)/100+0.20*(0.706)+0.20*(4388+33)/15*16/15/100+0.20)/2.5 (age 30)
Brees '11 0.596 = (0.20*(46+1)/16+0.20*(46-14)/100+0.20*0.712+0.20*(5476+86)/16/100)/2.5 (age 32)
Unitas '57 0.595=(0.20*(24+1)/12*16/12+0.20*(24-17)/100+0.20*0.571+0.20*(2550+171)/12*16/12/100+0.20)/2.5 (age 24)
Warner '99 0.587=(0.20*(41+1)/16+0.20*(41-13)/100+0.20*0.651+0.20*(4353+92)/16/100+0.20)/2.5 (age 28)
Young '94 0.579=(0.20*(35+7)/16+0.20*(35-10)/100+0.20*0.703+0.20*(3969+293)/16/100+0.20)/2.5 (age 33)
Rodgers* '10 0.572=(0.20*(28+4)/15*16/15+0.20*(28-11)/100+0.20*0.657+0.20*(3922+356)/15*16/15/100+0.20)/2.5 (age 27)
Brady* '11 0.571 =(0.20*(39+3)/16+0.20*(39-12)/100+0.20*0.656+0.20*(5235+109)/16/100 + 0.05)/2.5 (age 34) (pre-SB)
Favre '96 0.555=(0.20*(39+2)/16+0.20*(39-13)/100+0.20*0.599+0.20*(3899+136)/16/100+0.20)/2.5 (age 27)
Cunningham '98 0.547=(0.20*(34+1)/14*16/14+0.20*(34-10)/100+0.20*0.609+0.20*(3704+132)/14*16/14/100+0)/2.5 (age 35)
Moon '90 0.544=(0.20*(33+2)/15*16/15+0.20*(33-13)/100+0.20*0.620+0.20*(4689+215)/15*16/15/100+0)/2.5 (age 34)
McNabb '04 0.517= (0.20*(31+3)/15*16/15+0.20*(31-8)/100+0.20*0.640+0.20*(3885+220)/15*16/15/100+0.05)/2.5 (age 28)
Vick* '10 0.508
Kelly '91 0.499= (0.20*(33+1)/15*16/15+0.20*(33-17)/100+0.20*0.641+0.20*(3844+45)/15*16/15/100+0.05)/2.5 (age 31)
EManning '11 0.477= (0.20*(29+1)/16+0.20*(29-16)/100+0.20*0.610+0.20*(4933+15)/16/100+0.05)/2.5 (age 30) (pre-SB)
Staubach '71 0.467=(0.20*(23+3)/14*16/14+0.20*(23-15)/100+0.20*0.626+0.20*(2428+343)/14*16/14/100+0.15)/2.5 (age 29)
Brees '10 0.459
Rivers* '10 0.455
Elway '97 0.450=(0.20*(27+1)/16+0.20*(27-11)/100+0.20*0.558+0.20*(3635+218)/16/100+0.15)/2.5 (age 37)
Tarkenton '76 0.441=(0.20*(17+1)/13*16/13+0.20*(17-8)/100+0.20*0.619+0.20*(2961+45)/13*16/13/100+0.05)/2.5 (age 36)
Aikman '93 0.431=(0.20*(15+0)/14*16/14+0.20*(15-6)/100+0.20*0.691+0.20*(3100+125)/14*16/14/100+0.15)/2.5 (age 27)
Starr '66 0.419=(0.20*(14+2)/13*16/13+0.20*(14-3)/100+0.20*0.622+0.20*(2257+104)/13*16/13/100+0.15)/2.5 (age 32)
As an aside, here are some of PFR's career AVs (1950+, any posn), ref: http://www.pro-football-reference.com/leaders/av_career.htm (note all eligible in top 20 are in HOF)
in order,
QB Brady* (H future)
QB Brees (H future)
QB PManning (H future)
QB Brett Favre(H)
WR Jerry Rice(H)
QB Tarkenton(H)
DE/DT Reggie White(H)
DE Bruce Smith(H)
LB Ray Lewis (H)
QB Rivers (H future)
QB Dan Marino(H)
Bruce Matthews (G-C-T)
QB Elway(H)
QB Rodgers* (H future)
QB Roethlisberger (H future)
DT Alan Page(H)
LB Junior Seau(H)
QB MRyan*
(tie) Brooks(H), DT Lawrence Taylor(H), Woodson(H)
Peppers
Munoz(H)
there is a weighted version which rearranges the previous to be in order: the ref has the numerics
Apr 7th
I was curious as to the highest win% for games of record for QBs. A close stat to this follows:
Those are team records when a QB throws at least 14 passes, so it's not exactly the same as games started, but it's pretty close. Here were the all-time leaders (regular-season, minimum 15 games of >= 14 attempts) (as of end of 2010 season)
1. *Tom Brady: 112-32-0 (.778) (after game 3 2011) 189-54 as of 11/12/2017 0.778
2. Roger Staubach: 82-29-0 (.739)
3. Daryle Lamonica: 62-21-5 (.733)
4. Joe Montana: 115-47-0 (.710)
- - - - -
5. Bart Starr: 74-32-4 (.691)
6. Jim McMahon: 64-29-0 (.688)
7. Steve Young: 93-43-0 (.684)
8. Y.A. Tittle: 34-15-3 (.683)
9. Peyton Manning: 139-65-0 (.681) 186-79 as of 11/12/2017
*Roethlisberger 129-62 as of 11/12/2017 0.675
10. *Matt Ryan (ATL): 32-15-0 (.681) (after game 3 2011) 89-61 as of 11/12/2017 0.593
11. Rex Grossman: 23-11-0 (.676)
12. Frank Ryan: 53-25-3 (.673)
* Rodgers 94-47 as of 11/12/2017 (0.667 )
Stabler 96-49 as of 11/12/2017 (0.662 )
13. Philip Rivers: 55-27-0 (.671) (after game 3 2011) 100-84 as of 11/12/2017 0.544
Just run the query @ http://www.pro-football-reference.com/play-index/psl_finder.cgi
the above is hoped to be correct, please (& report) unintended errors. my source does not necessarily encompass non-NFL stats like the USFL or CFL, which skews ratings for players like Steve Young, Warren Moon, Doug Flutie etc
my main source is the invaluable website http://www.pro-football-reference.com/
Name |
rating |
games |
SBA |
SBW |
TotYds |
TotTD |
PTD/Int |
PTD-INT |
win% |
pass% |
NFL rating
|
my rtg less SB |
Comment1 |
Comment2 |
1 Brady* |
0.998
|
217
|
6
|
4
|
57429=56578+851
|
433
|
2.84
|
270=417-147
|
77.7
|
0.636
|
96.4
|
0.638
|
sure HOF |
top 4 passer
|
2 PManning |
0.87
|
265
|
4
|
2
|
72607=71940+667
|
557
|
2.15
|
288=539-251
|
70.2
|
0.653
|
96.5
|
0.670
|
sure HOF |
top 4 passer
|
3 Montana |
0.827
|
164
|
4
|
4
|
42227=40551+1676
|
293
|
1.96
|
134=273-139
|
71.3
|
0.632
|
92.3
|
0.507
|
HOF |
|
Rodgers* |
0.71
|
116
|
1
|
1
|
33898=31753+2145
|
275
|
4.10
|
192=254-062
|
69.4
|
0.652
|
104.1
|
0.629
|
sure HOF |
top 4 passer |
Brees |
0.70
|
216
|
1
|
1
|
61607=60903+704
|
442
|
2.09
|
223=428-205
|
58.4
|
0.664
|
95.8
|
0.623
|
sure HOF |
top 4 passer
|
Roethlisberger* |
0.676
|
169
|
3
|
2
|
44186=42995+1191
|
287
|
1.85
|
125=272-147
|
66.2
|
0.641
|
94.0
|
0.496
|
likely HOF |
|
Bradshaw |
0.640
|
158
|
4
|
4
|
30246=27989+2257
|
244
|
1.01
|
002=212-210
|
67.7
|
0.519
|
70.9
|
0.320
|
HOF |
|
Favre |
0.630
|
296
|
2
|
1
|
73438=71603+1835
|
521
|
1.51
|
172=507-335
|
62.4
|
0.620
|
86.0
|
0.526
|
HOF |
|
Elway |
0.630
|
231
|
5
|
2
|
54882=51475+3407
|
333
|
1.33
|
074=300-226
|
64.3
|
0.569
|
79.9
|
0.410
|
HOF |
|
Warner |
0.607
|
116
|
3
|
1
|
32630=32344+286
|
211
|
1.63
|
080=208-128
|
57.4
|
0.655
|
93.7
|
0.487
|
HOF nominee |
|
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