Just a bit of discussion on Seles' career and might have been (stabbing incident Apr 1993)
For perspective, from the start of 1991 until the stabbing, Seles reached the final of every Grand Slam she played.
Specifically, she won 7 of those 8, with the loss being to Steffi Graf at Wimbledon. These 7 comprised 3 consec AO, 3 consec FO and 2 consec USOpen titles.
She finished both 1991 and 1992 ranked number #1.
Post-stabbing at Wimbledon thru 1998, we see as losing finalists as Novotna, Arantxa Vicario, Tauziat and Navratilova.
The record of Seles vs Vicario is 20-3 (only 1 was pre-stabbing) and 20-1 vs Conchita Martinez (loss was post-stabbing)
Seles vs Navratilova is 10-7
Note Graf vs Novotna was 29-4
One hypothetical would be the 6 Wimbledons post-stabbing:
| Year |
Winner |
Loser |
remark |
|
1993
|
Graf |
Novotna |
Seles to final strong possibility 1 |
| 1994 |
Martinez |
Navratilova |
Seles win strong possibility 2 |
| 1995 |
Graf |
Vicario |
Seles to final strong possibility 3 |
| 1996 |
Graf |
Vicario |
Seles to final strong possibility 3 |
| 1997 |
Hingis |
Novotna |
Seles to final possibility 5 |
| 1998 |
Novotna |
Tauziat |
Tauziat's only GS final (no SFs) ; Seles to final possibility 6 |
After 1991, Navratilova only reached 1 singles final.
Looking at the above, Seles well may have won several Wimbledons, of course giving her the career Grand Slam.
She missed (10) consecutive GS tourneys post-stabbing. If we presume she would win at 3-4 of those missed events, and reach 7 of them, by my ratings (see Tennis Stuff), we then have:
| rtg |
(SS) |
GSF |
Career% |
GS% |
GSFW |
GSFL |
CareerW |
CareerL |
| |
4 |
20 |
.816 |
.65 |
13 |
7 |
639.5 |
144.5 |
1.65= 20*0.0075+.816+0.65+0.10*(639.5+144.5)/2000 without adjusting career W/L counts.
If we add 316 matches with an 82% win rate and 2 more GS finals, the rating becomes:
1.74= 22*0.0075+.816+0.70+0.10*(900+200)/2000
In short Seles is a top 5 player career-wise absent the stabbing...
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